The Government of India has recently intensified its efforts to monitor and manage the prices of essential food commodities. This initiative aims to ensure affordability for consumers and maintain a stable price regime. The Ministry of Food has reported an increase in the production of key staples for the 2024-25 season, attributing this to favourable weather conditions and good monsoon rains.
Production Estimates and Trends
The production of pulses and onions is expected to rise this year. Tur production is estimated at 35.02 lakh tonnes, a 2.5% increase from the previous year. Similarly, chana and masur production are anticipated to improve due to good sowing conditions. Kharif moong production is projected at 13.83 lakh tonnes, reflecting a 20% increase from last year.
Challenges in Food Production
Despite the optimistic production estimates, challenges remain. The previous year saw a 20% decline in onion production, which led to soaring prices. Additionally, a 5% drop in potato production contributed to persistent inflation. The government has identified trade disruptions and speculative trading as factors exacerbating price instability.
Inflation Trends
Food inflation has shown signs of moderation, decreasing to 8.39% in December from 10.87% in October. The average retail inflation rate for 2024 stands at 4.95%, lower than the previous two years. This decline indicates the effectiveness of government measures in stabilising prices.
Government Interventions
To tackle inflation, the government has implemented several initiatives. These include extending duty-free imports of pulses until March 2025 and allowing imports of yellow peas until February 2025. The sale of various dals under the Bharat brand has also been continued to directly influence retail prices.
Buffer Stock Management
The government has procured 4.7 lakh tonnes of rabi onions for buffer stock, with procurement prices set higher than previous years. This strategy has benefited farmers while controlling market prices. Onions have been sold through various channels at a fixed price to ensure consumer access.
Export Regulations
The government has calibrated its onion export policy to safeguard domestic supplies. Export prohibitions were in place from December 2023 to May 2024, followed by a regulated export policy. This careful management has resulted in increased onion exports despite higher mandi prices.
Future Outlook
The government’s proactive measures are designed to enhance food security and price stability. By incentivising domestic production and regulating imports and exports, the administration aims to balance the interests of consumers and farmers alike.
Questions for UPSC:
- Discuss the impact of government policies on food price stability in India.
- Critically examine the role of monsoon patterns in agricultural production and food security.
- Explain the significance of buffer stock in managing food inflation in India.
- With suitable examples, discuss the relationship between trade policies and domestic food prices in India.
Answer Hints:
1. Discuss the impact of government policies on food price stability in India.
- Government closely monitors essential food prices to ensure affordability for consumers.
- Duty-free imports of pulses and onions have been extended to enhance domestic availability.
- Buffer stock management has been implemented to stabilize onion prices and support farmers.
- Inflation rates have moderated due to timely government interventions and market regulations.
- Regular interactions with retailers help maintain price stability and consumer access to essential goods.
2. Critically examine the role of monsoon patterns in agricultural production and food security.
- Good monsoon leads to increased production of key staples like pulses and onions.
- Favorable weather conditions contribute to higher soil moisture and improved crop yields.
- Adverse monsoon patterns can cause declines in production, leading to price surges.
- Monsoon variability impacts food security by affecting supply chains and market prices.
- Government measures aim to mitigate risks associated with unpredictable monsoon patterns.
3. Explain the significance of buffer stock in managing food inflation in India.
- Buffer stock helps stabilize market prices by providing a reserve of essential commodities.
- Government procurement at higher prices benefits farmers while controlling inflation.
- Onions from the buffer are sold at fixed prices to ensure consumer access during shortages.
- Buffer stock acts as a safety net during production shortfalls or price volatility.
- Effective buffer management contributes to overall food security and price stability.
4. With suitable examples, discuss the relationship between trade policies and domestic food prices in India.
- Duty-free imports of pulses have been used to augment domestic supply and stabilize prices.
- Export prohibitions on onions during critical periods helped maintain local supply and prices.
- Regulated export policies, including minimum export prices, protect domestic markets from fluctuations.
- Trade disruptions and speculative trading can exacerbate price instability in the domestic market.
- Government policies aim to balance the interests of consumers and farmers through strategic trade management.
