India Meteorological Department’s Vision-2047 Initiative

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has set ambitious targets for weather forecasting accuracy as part of its Vision-2047 initiative. Announced during the 150th foundation day celebrations, the plan aims to enhance weather detection and forecasting capabilities across India. The initiative is designed to address severe weather events at local levels, ensuring that communities are well-prepared and informed.

Forecasting Accuracy Goals

The IMD aims for 100% accuracy in weather forecasts for up to three days. The targets include 90% accuracy for five days, 80% for seven days, and 70% for ten days. These goals are intended to cover all severe weather events, focusing on block and panchayat levels. The emphasis is on timely and precise information to aid disaster management.

Severe Weather Detection

By 2047, the IMD seeks to achieve complete detection of all severe weather types at village and household levels. This will be accomplished through advancements in observational systems. Remote-sensing technologies, including satellites and radars, will play important role in this effort.

Zero Deaths from Severe Weather

A key objective of the Vision-2047 document is to eliminate fatalities from severe weather events. The IMD aims to empower disaster managers and the public with early warnings. This proactive approach is intended to facilitate timely actions that can save lives and reduce property damage.

Impact-Based Forecasting

The IMD plans to provide impact-based forecasts and risk-based warnings. These forecasts will be developed dynamically using geospatial technology and hazard modelling. The focus will be on delivering information that is relevant to specific communities, enhancing the overall effectiveness of warnings.

Integration with National Objectives

The Vision-2047 initiative aims to integrate weather and climate information into national objectives. This integration is expected to improve socio-economic conditions across the country. The IMD’s Director General emphasised the importance of becoming a “weather-ready” and “climate-smart” nation.

Mission Mausam

As part of the 150th anniversary celebrations, the Prime Minister launched “Mission Mausam.” This initiative focuses on improving weather understanding and forecasting through expanded observation networks and advanced modelling techniques. Artificial intelligence and machine learning will be utilised to enhance forecasting capabilities.

Commemorative Celebrations

The IMD’s 150th foundation day was marked by the release of a special ₹150 commemorative coin and a postal stamp. The event was attended by officials from countries that were part of undivided India. For the first time, the IMD will showcase its own tableau in the Republic Day parade.

Future Directions

The Vision-2047 document outlines the current status of weather monitoring and forecasting systems. It marks achievements over the past decade and identifies gaps that need to be addressed. Specific targets have been set for the next two years, ten years, and by 2047, reflecting advancements in science and technology.

Questions for UPSC:

1. Critically analyse the role of advanced technologies in enhancing weather forecasting accuracy.
2. Estimate the socio-economic impacts of severe weather events on rural communities in India.
3. Point out the significance of the India Meteorological Department in disaster management and preparedness.
4. What is Mission Mausam? How does it aim to improve weather forecasting in India?

Answer Hints:

1. Critically analyse the role of advanced technologies in enhancing weather forecasting accuracy.

1. Advanced technologies like satellites and radars improve data collection and monitoring of weather patterns.
2. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning enhance predictive modeling and analysis of complex weather systems.
3. Geospatial technology allows for more precise mapping and understanding of local weather impacts.
4. Remote-sensing technologies facilitate real-time updates, improving the timeliness of forecasts.
5. Integration of various data sources leads to more reliable and accurate forecasting models.

2. Estimate the socio-economic impacts of severe weather events on rural communities in India.

1. Severe weather can lead to loss of crops, affecting food security and farmer livelihoods.
2. Infrastructure damage from storms or floods can disrupt transportation and access to markets.
3. Health risks increase due to waterborne diseases and lack of medical services during disasters.
4. Economic losses from property damage can lead to long-term financial instability for families.
5. Displacement and migration may occur, impacting community cohesion and local economies.

3. Point out the significance of the India Meteorological Department in disaster management and preparedness.

1. IMD provides timely weather forecasts and warnings that are crucial for disaster preparedness.
2. It plays a key role in educating communities about severe weather risks and safety measures.
3. IMD collaborates with government agencies to implement effective disaster response strategies.
4. The department’s data supports the development of infrastructure resilient to weather-related disasters.
5. IMD’s advancements in technology enhance the accuracy of information disseminated to stakeholders.

4. What is Mission Mausam? How does it aim to improve weather forecasting in India?

1. Mission Mausam is an initiative launched to enhance understanding and forecasting of weather patterns.
2. It focuses on expanding observation networks for better data collection and monitoring.
3. Advanced modeling techniques, including AI and machine learning, are integral to the mission.
4. The initiative aims to improve collaboration among various meteorological and research organizations.
5. By enhancing forecasting capabilities, Mission Mausam seeks to minimize the impact of severe weather events on communities.